The above file is our draft response to the additional technical evidence that the JSP Inspectors required WECA to produce. It contains important arguments about their errors in their: * Forecast growth assumptions * Sustainability analysis on Buckover * Assumptions on the impact of their proposals on the A38
The JSP commissioned research from Oxford Economics (OE) on forecast growth in the economy, jobs, and housing. They used the jobs information, but ignored the housing forecast because it was lower than they hoped. Oxford Economics has now said, if they were redoing that forecast again today, they would downgrade it considerably. TRAPPD estimates the forecast is overstated by more than 28,000, which is 1.6 times the total amount in all of the so called Strategic Development Locations.
The Joint Spatial Plan made an error in the way they treated the impact of older people who vacated their houses when they were going into care (they added the impact instead of deducting it!). The total Impact of this error amounts to another 8,800 houses
West of England Combined Authority(WECA) comprises two "Housing Market Areas" (HMAs) - Bristol and Bath - which are supposed to be self contained in so far as supply should match demand. However, the Joint Spatial Plan builds almost all of the Bath Housing Market Area demand into the Bristol Housing Market Area.
At the time of the Joint Spatial Plan examination in public there will be no committed plan in place for Transport - just a study. This means we will get the Houses and not have the infrastructure for Transport.
The spatial strategy of creating satellite developments such as Thornbury and Buckover goes against the principles listed in the Joint Spatial Plan because it creates a separation between where people live and where they will work. This creates commuter traffic and more pollution. We point out there are alternatives that largely avoid this problem
Buckover is the riskiest of all the Srategic Development Sites in terms of delivery. It is also fundamentally flawed for a whole host of reasons, including the proximity to Thornbury and the fact that it has the A38 running through the middle. We again remind the inspector that there ARE better alternatives.